内容摘要:Standard&Poor’sR atingsServiceslow ereditsoutlook on France’sA A creditratingtonegativefromstable。去年11月,标普进一步将法国评级由AA+下调至A A。
关键词:法国;评级;展望;华尔街日报;ent
作者简介:
Standard & Poor’sR atingsServiceslow ereditsoutlook on France’sA A creditratingtonegativefromstableFriday,castingdoubt ontheeffectiveness of President FranoisHollande’s flagshippolicies andw arningthatpublicfinancesm aydeteriorateaseconom icgrow thdisappoints.
标准普尔评级服务机构10日将法国AA主权信用评级展望由稳定下调至负面,对法国总统奥朗德的核心政策的有效性提出质疑,并警告在经济增长放缓的同时公共财政状况可能恶化。(《华尔街日报》)
“W e believe that,due topolicyim plementa-tionriskrelatedtothebudgetaryconsolidationandstructural reforms,a recoveryof the Frencheconom ycouldprove elusive andthatFrance’spublic finances m ight deterioratebeyond2014,althoughthisis not our base-casescenario,”itsaidina statem ent.
“我们相信,因与巩固预算和结构性改革相关的政策实施可能存在风险,法国经济复苏前景不明,其公共财政在2014年之后可能恶化,尽管这并非我们的基本判断,”标普在声明中表示。(路透社)
T hechangeintheoutlook com esastheFrench government itself acknow ledgesthatw eak econom icgrow th hasunderm ineditsbudget plansandthebudget deficit w ill runhigher thanpromisedearlier this year.
此次标普对法国评级展望作出调整,正值法国政府承认经济增长疲弱影响了预算方案、预算赤字将高于今年早些时候承诺的水平之时。(《华尔街日报》)
O fficial figuresfrom theB ank of Franceshowedthat theFrencheconom ydidnot growat all inthesecondquarter,andforthethirdquarter it is forecastinggrow thof 0.2%.
法国央行的官方数据显示,二季度法国经济出现零增长,预计三季度将增长0.2%。(英国广播公司)
T heFrench governm ent confirm edat thestart ofthem onth that it w ouldnot cut itspublic deficit as fast as ithadprom isedits EUpartnersduetow eaker thanexpectedgrowthandinflation. T hegovernm ent now expects thedeficit tofallinline w ithanEU -m andatedtar-get of 3percent of econom ic outputin2017in-steadof 2015as previouslyprom ised.
法国政府本月初证实,由于经济增长和通胀水平不及预期,其将不会以此前向欧盟承诺的速度来削减公共财政赤字。目前,法国政府预计财政赤字将于2017年达到欧盟规定的占经济产出的3%的目标,而非此前承诺的2015年。(路透社)
S& P projects that the Frenchgovernm ent’sdeficits w ill average4.1% betw een2014and2017—com pared to 3 .2%asof A pril thisyear—w hile econom ic grow thw ill average just1.2%duringthat sam etim efram e,agrow thprojectionthat is 0.1% low erthantheir priorforecast.
根据标普的预计,2014年至2017年间法国政府的财政赤字将平均占国内生产总值的4.1%,高于4月份预计的3.2%;同时期的平均经济增速将仅为1.2%,比此前预期的增速低0.1%。(《福布斯》)
T he further deteriorationof S& P’s assess-ment of France’s finances com es at adifficultm om ent for M r. Hollande. W ithopinionpollsshow ingheis theleast popularpresident,theSocialist leader’s governm ent faces oppositionon allsidesto hisplansto repairpublicfinances andbuoythe econom yafteraprolong-edperiodof stagnation.
标普此次进一步调低对法国财政状况的评估,正值总统奥朗德的艰难时期。民意调查显示,奥朗德为法国最不受欢迎的总统。在经历了漫长的经济停滞期后,奥朗德领导的社会党政府也面临着各方对其修复公共财政、支撑经济发展计划的反对。(《华尔街日报》)
S& Psaidthat M r. H ollande’sunpopularityandthe vocal oppositiontohis fiscal andecon-om icplansmayslow dow nactiononfinancesandliberalizinghighlyregulatedareasoftheeconom y. T hecountryalreadylacksastrongrecord forcarrying outpainful reform s,theratings firm noted.“W e believe that im plementa-tionrisks persist,”S& Psaid.
标普表示,奥朗德的不得人心以及外界对其财政经济计划的反对可能放慢财政措施的实行和对受到高端监管的经济领域的自由化进程。该机构称,法国本身缺乏实施艰苦改革的传统。“我们相信政策实施的风险将持续,”标普表示。(《华尔街日报》)
F rench F inanceMinisterMichelSapinreactedquicklytothem ovefrom S& P . Inastatement,hesaidFrenchdebt rem ains oneofthesafest andm ost liquidinvestmentsinthew orld . H ealso said thatF rancew ouldn’tchangeitseconomicstrategy.“T heeconom icsituationis w eighingonour budgetbalances,but thegovernm ent has decidedtosticktoitscourse,”M r.Sapinsaid.
法国财政部长米歇尔·萨班对标普的行动迅速作出了回应。他在一份声明中称,法国债务仍将是世界上最安全和流动性最高的投资之一,并称政府不会改变经济战略。“经济状况给预算平衡带来了压力,但政府已决定坚持既定路线,”萨班称。(《华尔街日报》)
S& P w asthefirstof thethreem ajorratings firms tostripFrance of the toptriple-Arating in January 2012,justbeforeMr.H ollandecam eto office. Sincethen,bothM oody’s InvestorsServiceandFitch R atingshave follow edsuit andS& P downgradedFranceagaininN ovem ber last year toA A from A A +.
2012年1月,就在奥朗德执政前夕,标普成为三大国际评级机构中第一个下调法国3A评级的评级机构。此后,穆迪和惠誉也纷纷下调法国评级。去年11月,标普进一步将法国评级由AA +下调至A A。(《华尔街日报》) (廖冰清 编译)







